SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 35.9%. A win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 (11.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boston River | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
35.9% ( 0.11) | 28.67% ( -0.02) | 35.43% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 45.81% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.31% ( 0.08) | 60.69% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.24% ( 0.06) | 80.76% ( -0.06) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.83% ( 0.11) | 32.17% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.35% ( 0.12) | 68.65% ( -0.12) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.53% ( -0.01) | 32.47% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31% ( -0.01) | 69% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boston River | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
| 1-0 @ 11.84% 2-1 @ 7.56% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 35.89% | 1-1 @ 13.32% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.44% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.66% | 0-1 @ 11.74% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.49% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 35.42% |
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