SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 28.53% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.52%) and 1-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Cerro win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerro | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
28.53% ( -0.05) | 28.19% ( 0.09) | 43.27% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 45.29% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.54% ( -0.34) | 60.45% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.42% ( -0.26) | 80.58% ( 0.26) |
| Cerro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.66% ( -0.23) | 37.34% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.87% ( -0.22) | 74.12% ( 0.22) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.27% ( -0.19) | 27.72% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.71% ( -0.24) | 63.29% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
| 1-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.02% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.74% Total : 28.52% | 1-1 @ 13.08% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.19% | 0-1 @ 13.28% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 8.39% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.76% Total : 43.27% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
