SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 48.98%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 22.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.39%) and 1-2 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Cerro win it was 1-0 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerro | Draw | Boston River |
22.81% ( 0.47) | 28.21% ( -0.01) | 48.98% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 41.06% ( 0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.39% ( 0.34) | 63.61% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.09% ( 0.24) | 82.91% ( -0.24) |
| Cerro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.71% ( 0.68) | 44.29% ( -0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.64% ( 0.54) | 80.36% ( -0.55) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.7% ( -0.07) | 26.3% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.58% ( -0.09) | 61.42% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro | Draw | Boston River |
| 1-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.92% Total : 22.81% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 11.64% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.45% Total : 28.2% | 0-1 @ 15.55% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 10.39% ( -0.17)1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.63% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.77% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 1.84% Total : 48.97% |
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