SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.91%) and 1-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Fenix win was 1-0 (11.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing de Montevideo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenix | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
30.64% ( 0.97) | 29.81% ( 0.25) | 39.55% ( -1.21) |
| Both teams to score 41.98% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.02% ( -0.51) | 64.98% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.12% ( -0.36) | 83.87% ( 0.36) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.82% ( 0.47) | 38.18% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.06% ( 0.45) | 74.94% ( -0.45) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.91% ( -0.99) | 32.09% ( 0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.43% ( -1.14) | 68.56% ( 1.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenix | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
| 1-0 @ 11.79% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 1.64% Total : 30.63% | 1-1 @ 13.4% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.8% | 0-1 @ 13.92% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.29)1-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 3% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.81% Total : 39.54% |
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