SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (11.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Racing de Montevideo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
30.73% ( 0.89) | 28.93% ( 0.21) | 40.34% ( -1.09) |
| Both teams to score 44.27% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.8% ( -0.43) | 62.19% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.12% ( -0.32) | 81.88% ( 0.32) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.43% ( 0.45) | 36.57% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.64% ( 0.44) | 73.36% ( -0.44) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.79% ( -0.84) | 30.21% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.63% ( -1.02) | 66.37% ( 1.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
| 1-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.88% Total : 30.73% | 1-1 @ 13.3% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 11.04% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 4% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.92% | 0-1 @ 13.22% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 7.92% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.4% Total : 40.33% |
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