Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 35.51%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.33%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Cerro win was 0-1 (12.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Cerro Largo	Draw	Cerro
35.51% ( 0.17)	29.32% ( -0.03)	35.17% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 43.99% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.11% (

0.09)

62.89% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.61% (

0.07)

82.39% (

-0.06)

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.44% (

0.16)

33.56% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.8% (

0.17)

70.2% (

-0.17)

Cerro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.22% (

-0.04)

33.78% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.55% (

-0.05)

70.45% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Cerro Largo 35.5%

Cerro 35.17%

Draw 29.3%

Cerro Largo	Draw	Cerro
1-0 @ 12.37% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 35.5%	1-1 @ 13.43% 0-0 @ 11.33% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.3%	0-1 @ 12.3% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.29% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 35.17%