SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro win with a probability of 37.79%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.46%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 0-1 (12.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerro | Draw | Cerro Largo |
37.79% ( 0.03) | 29.81% ( 0) | 32.4% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 42.41% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.33% ( -0.01) | 64.67% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.34% ( -0.01) | 83.66% ( 0.01) |
| Cerro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.98% ( 0.02) | 33.02% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.39% ( 0.02) | 69.6% ( -0.02) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.31% ( -0.03) | 36.69% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.52% ( -0.03) | 73.47% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro | Draw | Cerro Largo |
| 1-0 @ 13.42% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.76% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.75% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.59% Total : 37.79% | 1-1 @ 13.46% 0-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.74% ( -0)Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.8% | 0-1 @ 12.14% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.75% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 1.87% Total : 32.39% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
