Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 41.42%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 30.15% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Boston River win was 1-0 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
