Cerro Largo
3 - 1
Villa Espanola

Paiva (42'), Estol (50'), Otormin (90')
Cayetano (36'), Brasil (59'), Montero (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Albin (60')
D. Rio N. (89'), Aprile (90+4')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and Villa Espanola.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Villa Espanola had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Villa Espanola win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Largo would win this match.

Result
Cerro Largo	Draw	Villa Espanola
47.8%	25.38%	26.82%

Both teams to score 52.26%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.08%

50.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.21%

72.79%

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.68%

21.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.73%

54.26%

Villa Espanola Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.42%

33.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.78%

70.22%

Score Analysis

Cerro Largo 47.79%

Villa Espanola 26.82%

Draw 25.38%

Cerro Largo	Draw	Villa Espanola
1-0 @ 11.06% 2-1 @ 9.33% 2-0 @ 8.55% 3-1 @ 4.81% 3-0 @ 4.41% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 1.86% 4-0 @ 1.7% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.44% Total : 47.79%	1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 7.16% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.38%	0-1 @ 7.81% 1-2 @ 6.59% 0-2 @ 4.26% 1-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 1.85% 0-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.36% Total : 26.82%