Cerro Largo
0 - 1
Penarol

Brasil (52'), Cayetano (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ceppelini (64')
Musto (15'), Alvarez (59'), Pereira (73')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and Penarol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Penarol in this match.

Result
Cerro Largo	Draw	Penarol
29.2%	27.01%	43.79%

Both teams to score 48.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.03%

55.97%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.93%

77.07%

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.6%

34.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.89%

71.11%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.62%

25.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.82%

60.18%

Score Analysis

Cerro Largo 29.2%

Penarol 43.79%

Draw 27.01%

Cerro Largo	Draw	Penarol
1-0 @ 9.32% 2-1 @ 6.82% 2-0 @ 4.97% 3-1 @ 2.42% 3-0 @ 1.77% 3-2 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.24% Total : 29.2%	1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.73% 2-2 @ 4.67% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.01%	0-1 @ 11.97% 1-2 @ 8.76% 0-2 @ 8.21% 1-3 @ 4% 0-3 @ 3.75% 2-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 1.37% 0-4 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.3% Total : 43.79%