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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 13
Aug 6, 2021 at 10pm UK
Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
P

Cerro Largo
0 - 1
Penarol


Brasil (52'), Cayetano (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ceppelini (64')
Musto (15'), Alvarez (59'), Pereira (73')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and Penarol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Penarol in this match.

Result
Cerro LargoDrawPenarol
29.2%27.01%43.79%
Both teams to score 48.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.03%55.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.93%77.07%
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.6%34.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.89%71.11%
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.62%25.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.82%60.18%
Score Analysis
    Cerro Largo 29.2%
    Penarol 43.79%
    Draw 27.01%
Cerro LargoDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 9.32%
2-1 @ 6.82%
2-0 @ 4.97%
3-1 @ 2.42%
3-0 @ 1.77%
3-2 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 29.2%
1-1 @ 12.77%
0-0 @ 8.73%
2-2 @ 4.67%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.01%
0-1 @ 11.97%
1-2 @ 8.76%
0-2 @ 8.21%
1-3 @ 4%
0-3 @ 3.75%
2-3 @ 2.14%
1-4 @ 1.37%
0-4 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 43.79%

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