Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Cerro win was 1-0 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
