Cerro
0 - 1
Nacional

Garcia (43'), Cabrera (71'), Bentaberry (75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bergessio (51')
Martinez (20'), Trezza (32'), Mendez (48'), Rochet (75'), Ocampo (76')

Data Analysis

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro and Nacional.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 46.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 26.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.17%) and 1-2 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Cerro win it was 1-0 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nacional in this match.

Result
Cerro	Draw	Nacional
26.22%	27.49%	46.29%

Both teams to score 45.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.82%

59.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.39%

79.6%

Cerro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.43%

38.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.69%

75.31%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.42%

25.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.54%

60.45%

Score Analysis

Cerro 26.22%

Nacional 46.28%

Draw 27.49%

Cerro	Draw	Nacional
1-0 @ 9.4% 2-1 @ 6.11% 2-0 @ 4.48% 3-1 @ 1.94% 3-0 @ 1.42% 3-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.55% Total : 26.22%	1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 9.87% 2-2 @ 4.16% Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.49%	0-1 @ 13.44% 0-2 @ 9.17% 1-2 @ 8.74% 0-3 @ 4.17% 1-3 @ 3.97% 2-3 @ 1.89% 0-4 @ 1.42% 1-4 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.13% Total : 46.28%