SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rampla Juniors win with a probability of 37.09%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rampla Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.52%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Cerro win was 1-0 (11.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerro | Draw | Rampla Juniors |
33.58% ( 0.16) | 29.33% ( 0.01) | 37.09% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 43.85% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.98% ( -0.03) | 63.01% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.52% ( -0.02) | 82.48% ( 0.02) |
| Cerro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.05% ( 0.09) | 34.94% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.31% ( 0.1) | 71.68% ( -0.11) |
| Rampla Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.4% ( -0.13) | 32.6% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.86% ( -0.15) | 69.14% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro | Draw | Rampla Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 11.97% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 33.57% | 1-1 @ 13.42% 0-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.96% ( -0)Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.32% | 0-1 @ 12.76% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.68% Total : 37.08% |
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