SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boston River in this match.
| Result | ||
| Boston River | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
41.8% ( -0.23) | 27.92% ( 0.06) | 30.27% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 46.85% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.11% ( -0.17) | 58.89% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.62% ( -0.13) | 79.38% ( 0.13) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.23% ( -0.21) | 27.77% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.64% ( -0.27) | 63.35% ( 0.26) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.87% ( 0.03) | 35.13% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.12% ( 0.04) | 71.88% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boston River | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
| 1-0 @ 12.5% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.81% Total : 41.8% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.92% | 0-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0)Other @ 2.12% Total : 30.27% |
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