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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 7
Mar 19, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Parque José Nasazzi

Boston River
3 - 3
Danubio

Gomez (15'), Silva Torrejon (35'), Olivera (90')
Gomez (45+1'), Rodriguez (69'), Olivera (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Gonzalez (12'), May (61', 90+2')
Ferreira (18'), Saravia (72')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Boston River and Danubio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nacional 3-1 Boston River
Saturday, March 11 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Danubio 1-0 Cerro
Sunday, March 12 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 36.28%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.42%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Danubio win was 0-1 (12.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Boston RiverDrawDanubio
36.28% (0.526 0.53) 29.36% (-0.109 -0.11) 34.36% (-0.414 -0.41)
Both teams to score 43.84% (0.279 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.95% (0.346 0.35)63.05% (-0.343 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.49% (0.25 0.25)82.51% (-0.248 -0.25)
Boston River Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.86% (0.52600000000001 0.53)33.14% (-0.522 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.25% (0.577 0.58)69.75% (-0.57299999999999 -0.57)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.58% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)34.42% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.87% (-0.104 -0.1)71.13% (0.107 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Boston River 36.27%
    Danubio 34.36%
    Draw 29.34%
Boston RiverDrawDanubio
1-0 @ 12.59% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.42% (0.095999999999999 0.1)
2-0 @ 6.96% (0.109 0.11)
3-1 @ 2.73% (0.074 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.56% (0.075 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.46% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 36.27%
1-1 @ 13.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 11.4% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 3.96% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 29.34%
0-1 @ 12.16% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-2 @ 7.17% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.49% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.55% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.31% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 34.36%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Nacional 3-1 Boston River
Saturday, March 11 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 0-0 River Plate
Saturday, March 4 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Huracan 1-0 Boston River
Wednesday, March 1 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Maldonado 3-2 Boston River
Sunday, February 26 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 0-0 Huracan
Thursday, February 23 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Penarol 1-0 Boston River
Monday, February 20 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Danubio 1-0 Cerro
Sunday, March 12 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 0-0 Danubio (3-4 pen.)
Wednesday, March 8 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Racing 1-1 Danubio
Friday, March 3 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Danubio 5-0 Plaza Colonia
Sunday, February 26 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro Largo 1-0 Danubio
Saturday, February 18 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Danubio 1-1 Liverpool
Sunday, February 12 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division


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