SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.08%) and 2-1 (7.95%). The likeliest Boston River win was 0-1 (11.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Danubio | Draw | Boston River |
40.79% ( -0.33) | 29.08% ( 0.06) | 30.13% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 43.67% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.18% ( -0.11) | 62.82% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.66% ( -0.08) | 82.34% ( 0.08) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.74% ( -0.25) | 30.26% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.57% ( -0.3) | 66.43% ( 0.29) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.62% ( 0.15) | 37.38% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.84% ( 0.15) | 74.16% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Danubio | Draw | Boston River |
| 1-0 @ 13.52% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.08% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.38% Total : 40.79% | 1-1 @ 13.3% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.3% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.06% | 0-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 1.75% Total : 30.13% |
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