SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 58.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 18.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Boston River win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nacional in this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Boston River |
58.18% ( -0.13) | 22.9% ( 0.04) | 18.92% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 50.26% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.24% ( -0.06) | 48.76% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.13% ( -0.06) | 70.87% ( 0.05) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.53% ( -0.07) | 16.47% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.83% ( -0.12) | 46.16% ( 0.11) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.17% ( 0.05) | 39.82% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.5% ( 0.05) | 76.49% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nacional | Draw | Boston River |
| 1-0 @ 11.82% 2-0 @ 10.66% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.03% Total : 58.17% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.93% Total : 22.9% | 0-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 2.16% Total : 18.92% |
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