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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Jul 16, 2021 at 7pm UK
Parque Abraham Paladino
BR

Progreso
1 - 0
Boston River

Morales (90')
Formento (16')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Nadruz (57')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Boston River.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Progreso had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Progreso win was 1-0 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
ProgresoDrawBoston River
32.74%28.16%39.1%
Both teams to score 46.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.89%59.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.44%79.56%
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.53%33.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.9%70.1%
Boston River Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.59%29.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.6%65.4%
Score Analysis
    Progreso 32.74%
    Boston River 39.1%
    Draw 28.15%
ProgresoDrawBoston River
1-0 @ 10.77%
2-1 @ 7.22%
2-0 @ 5.9%
3-1 @ 2.63%
3-0 @ 2.15%
3-2 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 32.74%
1-1 @ 13.18%
0-0 @ 9.84%
2-2 @ 4.42%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.15%
0-1 @ 12.04%
1-2 @ 8.07%
0-2 @ 7.37%
1-3 @ 3.29%
0-3 @ 3.01%
2-3 @ 1.8%
1-4 @ 1.01%
0-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 39.1%

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