Penarol
4 - 1
Maldonado

Terans (3'), Britos (23', 58'), N. Olivera Moreira (90+4' og.)
Kagelmacher (28'), Estoyanoff (74'), Vadocz (89')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Batista (69')
Sant'Anna (33')
Estigarribia (38')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Deportivo Maldonado.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 53.8%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 20.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
Penarol	Draw	Deportivo Maldonado
53.8%	25.31%	20.89%

Both teams to score 46.23%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.31%

55.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.16%

76.83%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.28%

20.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.67%

53.32%

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.31%

41.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.84%

78.16%

Score Analysis

Penarol 53.8%

Deportivo Maldonado 20.89%

Draw 25.31%

Penarol	Draw	Deportivo Maldonado
1-0 @ 13.59% 2-0 @ 10.7% 2-1 @ 9.36% 3-0 @ 5.62% 3-1 @ 4.91% 4-0 @ 2.21% 3-2 @ 2.15% 4-1 @ 1.93% Other @ 3.32% Total : 53.8%	1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 8.63% 2-2 @ 4.1% Other @ 0.68% Total : 25.31%	0-1 @ 7.56% 1-2 @ 5.21% 0-2 @ 3.31% 1-3 @ 1.52% 2-3 @ 1.2% 0-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.14% Total : 20.89%