Maldonado
1 - 2
River Plate

Nicolini (37')
Gonzalez (67')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Montiel (54'), Arezo (66')
Bonifazi (13'), Neris (61'), Rodriguez (79'), (90'), (90')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Deportivo Maldonado and River Plate.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
Deportivo Maldonado	Draw	River Plate
31.01%	28.36%	40.63%

Both teams to score 45.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.81%

60.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.62%

80.38%

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.72%

35.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.97%

72.03%

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.95%

29.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.04%

64.96%

Score Analysis

Deportivo Maldonado 31%

River Plate 40.62%

Draw 28.34%

Deportivo Maldonado	Draw	River Plate
1-0 @ 10.67% 2-1 @ 6.88% 2-0 @ 5.56% 3-1 @ 2.39% 3-0 @ 1.93% 3-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.1% Total : 31%	1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 10.24% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.34%	0-1 @ 12.66% 1-2 @ 8.16% 0-2 @ 7.83% 1-3 @ 3.36% 0-3 @ 3.23% 2-3 @ 1.75% 1-4 @ 1.04% 0-4 @ 1% Other @ 1.6% Total : 40.62%