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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Jul 12, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Julio Cesar Abbadie

Maldonado
1 - 1
Racing

Larrazabal (3')
Gonzalez (39'), Reyes (76'), Rodriguez (82'), Trasante (85'), Nunez (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Alaniz (83')
Rodriguez (50'), Espinosa (90+3'), Magallanes (90+1')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Deportivo Maldonado and Racing de Montevideo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Penarol 1-1 Maldonado
Saturday, July 6 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Progreso 3-2 Racing
Sunday, July 7 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (10.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Deportivo MaldonadoDrawRacing de Montevideo
34.81% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01) 27.94%37.25% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.94% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.95% (0.009999999999998 0.01)58.05% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.27% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)78.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Deportivo Maldonado Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.48% (0.0019999999999953 0)31.52% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.09%67.92% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Racing de Montevideo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.01% (0.012 0.01)29.99% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.9% (0.012999999999998 0.01)66.1% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Deportivo Maldonado 34.81%
    Racing de Montevideo 37.25%
    Draw 27.93%
Deportivo MaldonadoDrawRacing de Montevideo
1-0 @ 10.91%
2-1 @ 7.59%
2-0 @ 6.3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 34.81%
1-1 @ 13.14%
0-0 @ 9.45% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 4.57% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.93%
0-1 @ 11.38%
1-2 @ 7.92% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 6.86% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.75% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 37.25%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Penarol 1-1 Maldonado
Saturday, July 6 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Maldonado 1-3 Fenix
Saturday, June 22 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 1-1 Maldonado
Saturday, June 15 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Maldonado 0-2 Defensor
Sunday, June 9 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Danubio 1-1 Maldonado
Monday, June 3 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Maldonado 0-1 Fenix
Sunday, May 26 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Progreso 3-2 Racing
Sunday, July 7 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 0-1 Defensor
Saturday, June 22 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 1-1 Racing
Sunday, June 16 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 2-1 Fenix
Saturday, June 8 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 3-3 Racing
Sunday, June 2 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Corinthians 3-0 Racing
Tuesday, May 28 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana


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