SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Progreso win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers has a probability of 33.43% and a draw has a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win is 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.85%).
| Result | ||
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Progreso |
33.43% ( 0.41) | 27.09% ( -1.05) | 39.48% ( 0.64) |
| Both teams to score 50.3% ( 3.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45% ( 4.01) | 55% ( -4.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.73% ( 3.2) | 76.27% ( -3.2) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.11% ( 2.32) | 30.89% ( -2.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.82% ( 2.65) | 67.18% ( -2.65) |
| Progreso Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.78% ( 2.29) | 27.22% ( -2.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.36% ( 2.89) | 62.64% ( -2.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Progreso |
| 1-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.92) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.28)2-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.29)3-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.29)Other @ 3.05% Total : 33.43% | 1-1 @ 12.85% ( -0.33) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( -1.39)2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.48)Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.09% | 0-1 @ 10.94% ( -1.02) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( 0.32)0-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.35)0-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.33)1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.18)0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.03% Total : 39.48% |
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