SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Progreso |
33.09% ( -0.03) | 26.93% ( 0) | 39.97% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.71% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.56% ( -0.03) | 54.44% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.19% ( -0.02) | 75.81% ( 0.02) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.16% ( -0.03) | 30.83% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.89% ( -0.04) | 67.11% ( 0.03) |
| Progreso Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.31% ( -0) | 26.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.06% ( -0.01) | 61.93% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Progreso |
| 1-0 @ 9.68% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.52% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.7% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.95% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.23% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0)Other @ 3.06% Total : 33.09% | 1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0)Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.92% | 0-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.72% 0-3 @ 3.16% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.23% 0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.13% Total : 39.97% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
