SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 45.96%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 26.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
45.96% ( -0.21) | 27.66% ( 0.07) | 26.37% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 45.38% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.34% ( -0.16) | 59.66% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.02% ( -0.12) | 79.98% ( 0.12) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.04% ( -0.18) | 25.96% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.03% ( -0.24) | 60.97% ( 0.23) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.29% ( 0.03) | 38.7% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.56% ( 0.03) | 75.44% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
| 1-0 @ 13.55% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.05% Total : 45.96% | 1-1 @ 12.86% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.64% Total : 27.65% | 0-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 1.54% Total : 26.37% |
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