SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.02%) and 2-1 (7.7%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 (11.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Deportivo Maldonado would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
40.03% ( 0.07) | 29.67% ( 0) | 30.3% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 42.21% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.36% ( -0.03) | 64.64% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.36% ( -0.02) | 83.64% ( 0.02) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.37% ( 0.03) | 31.63% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.96% ( 0.03) | 68.03% ( -0.03) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.74% ( -0.07) | 38.26% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.98% ( -0.07) | 75.02% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 13.92% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 7.7% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.96% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0)Other @ 2.93% Total : 40.02% | 1-1 @ 13.38% 0-0 @ 12.09% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.7% ( -0)Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.66% | 0-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 1.63% Total : 30.29% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
