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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Feb 11, 2021 at 11pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Penarol
1 - 1
Maldonado

A (45+1')
Torres (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cantera (69' pen.)
Tellechea (21'), Tealde (33'), Olivera (45+2'), Lerda (53'), Ravecca (60')
Olivera (52'), Ravecca (81')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Deportivo Maldonado.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 55.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 20.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
PenarolDrawDeportivo Maldonado
55.24%24.31%20.45%
Both teams to score 48.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.57%52.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.9%74.1%
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.13%18.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.66%50.34%
Deportivo Maldonado Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.72%40.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.1%76.9%
Score Analysis
    Penarol 55.23%
    Deportivo Maldonado 20.45%
    Draw 24.3%
PenarolDrawDeportivo Maldonado
1-0 @ 12.67%
2-0 @ 10.56%
2-1 @ 9.61%
3-0 @ 5.87%
3-1 @ 5.34%
4-0 @ 2.45%
3-2 @ 2.43%
4-1 @ 2.23%
4-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 55.23%
1-1 @ 11.52%
0-0 @ 7.6%
2-2 @ 4.37%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 24.3%
0-1 @ 6.91%
1-2 @ 5.24%
0-2 @ 3.14%
1-3 @ 1.59%
2-3 @ 1.33%
0-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 20.45%

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