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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 7
Feb 14, 2021 at 12am UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
1 - 1
Plaza Colonia

Bergessio (67')
Mendez (14'), Ocampo (32'), Lores (80'), Martinez (86'), Cartagena (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cruz Mascia (68')
Cruz Mascia (43'), Suhr (82'), Fernandez (85')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Plaza Colonia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 50.74%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 22.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 0-1 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
NacionalDrawPlaza Colonia
50.74%26.34%22.92%
Both teams to score 45.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.55%57.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.74%78.26%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.25%22.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.57%56.43%
Plaza Colonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.37%40.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.78%77.22%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 50.73%
    Plaza Colonia 22.92%
    Draw 26.33%
NacionalDrawPlaza Colonia
1-0 @ 13.68%
2-0 @ 10.13%
2-1 @ 9.13%
3-0 @ 5%
3-1 @ 4.51%
3-2 @ 2.03%
4-0 @ 1.85%
4-1 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 50.73%
1-1 @ 12.32%
0-0 @ 9.24%
2-2 @ 4.11%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 8.32%
1-2 @ 5.55%
0-2 @ 3.75%
1-3 @ 1.67%
2-3 @ 1.23%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 22.92%

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