Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 36.14%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (11.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.