Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 36.87%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.61%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (11.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
