Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Villa Espanola had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Villa Espanola win was 1-0 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenix would win this match.