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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Oct 2, 2021 at 5.15pm UK
Estadio Obdulio Varela
F

Villa Espanola
1 - 2
Fenix

Silva (64')
Ramirez (84'), Albin (88')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Pereira (35'), Franco (45+2')
Sosa (89'), Martirena (90+6')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Villa Espanola and Fenix.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Villa Espanola had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Villa Espanola win was 1-0 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenix would win this match.

Result
Villa EspanolaDrawFenix
31.83%28.16%40.01%
Both teams to score 46.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.7%59.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.3%79.7%
Villa Espanola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.79%34.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.1%70.9%
Fenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.03%28.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.14%64.86%
Score Analysis
    Villa Espanola 31.83%
    Fenix 40%
    Draw 28.16%
Villa EspanolaDrawFenix
1-0 @ 10.63%
2-1 @ 7.06%
2-0 @ 5.7%
3-1 @ 2.53%
3-0 @ 2.04%
3-2 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 31.83%
1-1 @ 13.17%
0-0 @ 9.91%
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.16%
0-1 @ 12.27%
1-2 @ 8.16%
0-2 @ 7.61%
1-3 @ 3.37%
0-3 @ 3.14%
2-3 @ 1.81%
1-4 @ 1.04%
0-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 40%

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