Progreso
2 - 0
Maldonado

Lima (17' og.), Colman (46')
Silva (42'), Andrada (45')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Muniz (83')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Deportivo Maldonado.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 2-1 (8.28%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Progreso would win this match.

Result
Progreso	Draw	Deportivo Maldonado
42.59%	28.44%	28.97%

Both teams to score 44.87%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.91%

61.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.94%

81.06%

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.6%

28.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.86%

64.14%

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.66%

37.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.87%

74.12%

Score Analysis

Progreso 42.58%

Deportivo Maldonado 28.96%

Draw 28.44%

Progreso	Draw	Deportivo Maldonado
1-0 @ 13.34% 2-0 @ 8.4% 2-1 @ 8.28% 3-0 @ 3.53% 3-1 @ 3.47% 3-2 @ 1.71% 4-0 @ 1.11% 4-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.65% Total : 42.58%	1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 10.6% 2-2 @ 4.08% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.44%	0-1 @ 10.44% 1-2 @ 6.48% 0-2 @ 5.15% 1-3 @ 2.13% 0-3 @ 1.69% 2-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.75% Total : 28.96%