Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Villa Espanola had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Villa Espanola win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boston River in this match.