Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerrito win with a probability of 40.39%. A draw had a probability of 30.5% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 29.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerrito win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.31%) and 2-1 (7.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.43%), while for a Fenix win it was 0-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.