SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for La Luz had a probability of 29.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest La Luz win was 1-0 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| La Luz | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
29.34% ( -0.43) | 28.32% ( 0.08) | 42.35% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 45.37% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.45% ( -0.41) | 60.55% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.34% ( -0.31) | 80.66% ( 0.31) |
| La Luz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.24% ( -0.56) | 36.76% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.46% ( -0.57) | 73.55% ( 0.57) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.73% ( -0) | 28.27% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.02% ( -0) | 63.98% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| La Luz | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
| 1-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.84% Total : 29.34% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 10.39% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.31% | 0-1 @ 13.12% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 8.3% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.29% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 3.5% 0-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.1% 0-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.69% Total : 42.34% |
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