SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Fenix win was 1-0 (10.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenix | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
32.54% ( 0.55) | 28.44% ( 1.24) | 39.02% ( -1.79) |
| Both teams to score 46.12% ( -3.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.86% ( -4.41) | 60.14% ( 4.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.66% ( -3.47) | 80.34% ( 3.47) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.85% ( -1.91) | 34.15% ( 1.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.16% ( -2.1) | 70.84% ( 2.1) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.04% ( -3.13) | 29.96% ( 3.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.93% ( -3.94) | 66.07% ( 3.94) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenix | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
| 1-0 @ 10.99% ( 1.2) 2-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.36)3-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.2)3-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.27)Other @ 2.32% Total : 32.54% | 1-1 @ 13.24% ( 0.36) 0-0 @ 10.23% ( 1.58)2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.51)Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.43% | 0-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.95) 1-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.49)0-2 @ 7.43% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.51)0-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.3)2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.38)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.26)Other @ 2.39% Total : 39.02% |
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