SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Plaza Colonia win was 1-0 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Plaza Colonia | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
28.03% ( 0.4) | 26.83% ( -0.14) | 45.13% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 48.79% ( 0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.15% ( 0.71) | 55.84% ( -0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.03% ( 0.57) | 76.96% ( -0.58) |
| Plaza Colonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.76% ( 0.71) | 35.23% ( -0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.01% ( 0.73) | 71.99% ( -0.74) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.34% ( 0.18) | 24.65% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.82% ( 0.25) | 59.17% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plaza Colonia | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
| 1-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.07% Total : 28.03% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.69% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.82% | 0-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 8.88% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 45.12% |
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