Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 42%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Boston River win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.