Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Liverpool |
29.07% ( -0.23) | 27.89% ( -0.05) | 43.04% ( 0.29) |
Both teams to score 46.39% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.8% ( 0.09) | 59.2% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.37% ( 0.07) | 79.62% ( -0.07) |
Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.77% ( -0.14) | 36.23% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.99% ( -0.14) | 73.01% ( 0.14) |
Liverpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.74% ( 0.19) | 27.25% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.31% ( 0.25) | 62.68% ( -0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Liverpool |
1-0 @ 10.02% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 29.06% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.89% | 0-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.34% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.87% Total : 43.03% |
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