SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 48.4%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 25.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 0-1 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
48.4% ( -0) | 26.07% ( -0) | 25.53% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 49.12% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.5% ( 0) | 54.5% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.14% ( 0) | 75.86% ( -0) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.46% ( 0) | 22.54% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.87% ( 0) | 56.12% ( -0) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.41% ( 0.01) | 36.59% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.62% ( 0.01) | 73.37% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 12.28% 2-1 @ 9.2% 2-0 @ 9.15% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.57% 3-0 @ 4.55% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.7% 4-0 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.95% Total : 48.39% | 1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 8.25% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0)Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 8.29% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.21% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.17% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.08% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.83% Total : 25.53% |
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