SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Plaza Colonia win was 0-1 (11.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerro | Draw | Plaza Colonia |
40.14% ( -0.57) | 28.82% ( 0.38) | 31.04% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 44.67% ( -0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.26% ( -1.23) | 61.74% ( 1.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.45% ( -0.91) | 81.54% ( 0.92) |
| Cerro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.9% ( -0.93) | 30.09% ( 0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.77% ( -1.13) | 66.23% ( 1.13) |
| Plaza Colonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.9% ( -0.52) | 36.09% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.12% ( -0.53) | 72.87% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro | Draw | Plaza Colonia |
| 1-0 @ 13.04% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.43% Total : 40.14% | 1-1 @ 13.29% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.49)2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.81% | 0-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.96% Total : 31.03% |
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