SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 42.18%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 28.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.45%) and 1-2 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.23%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 1-0 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | River Plate |
28.86% ( -0.18) | 28.96% ( 0.01) | 42.18% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 43.44% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.16% ( -0.09) | 62.84% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.65% ( -0.07) | 82.35% ( 0.07) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.6% ( -0.2) | 38.4% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.85% ( -0.19) | 75.15% ( 0.19) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.52% ( 0.05) | 29.48% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.51% ( 0.06) | 65.49% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 10.83% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.6% Total : 28.85% | 1-1 @ 13.23% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.31% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.54% Total : 28.95% | 0-1 @ 13.82% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 8.45% ( 0.05)1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 1.46% Total : 42.17% |
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