SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (11.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | River Plate |
38.07% ( -0) | 28.65% ( 0.1) | 33.27% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 45.66% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.22% ( -0.38) | 60.77% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.17% ( -0.29) | 80.82% ( 0.28) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.15% ( -0.19) | 30.84% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.87% ( -0.23) | 67.12% ( 0.22) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.03% ( -0.27) | 33.97% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.35% ( -0.3) | 70.64% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 12.32% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.84% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 38.07% | 1-1 @ 13.3% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.64% | 0-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.11% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.36% Total : 33.27% |
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