SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 (11.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
38.61% ( -0.28) | 28.7% ( -0.08) | 32.69% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 45.42% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.97% ( 0.36) | 61.03% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.99% ( 0.27) | 81.01% ( -0.26) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.35% ( 0.01) | 30.65% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.11% ( 0.01) | 66.89% ( -0.01) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.49% ( 0.45) | 34.51% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.77% ( 0.48) | 71.23% ( -0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 12.5% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 3.1% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.25% Total : 38.6% | 1-1 @ 13.3% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.69% | 0-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.25% Total : 32.69% |
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