Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
River Plate | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
37.37% ( -0.24) | 28.16% ( -0.13) | 34.46% ( 0.37) |
Both teams to score 47.23% ( 0.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.08% ( 0.52) | 58.91% ( -0.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.6% ( 0.4) | 79.4% ( -0.4) |
River Plate Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.66% ( 0.11) | 30.34% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.47% ( 0.13) | 66.53% ( -0.13) |
Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.81% ( 0.52) | 32.19% ( -0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.32% ( 0.58) | 68.68% ( -0.58) |
Score Analysis |
River Plate | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
1-0 @ 11.65% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.76% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 37.37% | 1-1 @ 13.2% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.16% | 0-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.75% Total : 34.46% |
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