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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Apr 16, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Parque Federico Omar Saroldi
MW

River Plate
1 - 2
Wanderers

Dos Santos (78')
Pereira (34'), Alfonso (44'), Dos Santos (83'), Garcia (83'), Brunelli (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pais (4'), Risso (51')
Camargo (22'), Milan (37'), Fonseca (45'), Veglio (45+2'), Pais (60'), Cerro (90+5')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Montevideo Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fenix 0-0 River Plate
Saturday, April 8 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 0-1 Maldonado
Friday, April 7 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
River PlateDrawMontevideo Wanderers
37.37% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24) 28.16% (-0.135 -0.13) 34.46% (0.372 0.37)
Both teams to score 47.23% (0.436 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.08% (0.51900000000001 0.52)58.91% (-0.52 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.6% (0.401 0.4)79.4% (-0.401 -0.4)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.66% (0.11399999999999 0.11)30.34% (-0.114 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.47% (0.134 0.13)66.53% (-0.134 -0.13)
Montevideo Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.81% (0.517 0.52)32.19% (-0.515 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.32% (0.581 0.58)68.68% (-0.581 -0.58)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 37.37%
    Montevideo Wanderers 34.46%
    Draw 28.16%
River PlateDrawMontevideo Wanderers
1-0 @ 11.65% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 7.87% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.95% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.13% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.76% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.77% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 0.93% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 37.37%
1-1 @ 13.2% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.77% (-0.194 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.46% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.16%
0-1 @ 11.07% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.48% (0.088 0.09)
0-2 @ 6.27% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.83% (0.072 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.37% (0.053 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 34.46%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Fenix 0-0 River Plate
Saturday, April 8 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 2-1 Danubio
Friday, March 31 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 3-0 River Plate
Sunday, March 26 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 1-0 River Plate
Saturday, March 18 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 3-1 Maldonado
Monday, March 13 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 0-4 Penarol
Wednesday, March 8 at 12am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Wanderers 0-1 Maldonado
Friday, April 7 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 0-1 Wanderers
Sunday, April 2 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 3-0 Cerro
Saturday, March 25 at 9.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 1-1 Wanderers
Sunday, March 19 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 0-1 Plaza Colonia
Saturday, March 11 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro Largo 0-0 Wanderers
Sunday, March 5 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division


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