Progreso
1 - 2
Plaza Colonia

Marta (76')
Ferreira (90+2'), Roldan (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Asconeguy (39' og.), Cruz Mascia (44')
Zeballos (36'), Olivera (50'), Mele (85')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Plaza Colonia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plaza Colonia win with a probability of 45.07%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 26.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plaza Colonia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.09%) and 1-2 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Progreso win it was 1-0 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plaza Colonia would win this match.

Result
Progreso	Draw	Plaza Colonia
26.67%	28.26%	45.07%

Both teams to score 44.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.5%

61.5%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.63%

81.37%

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.52%

39.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.83%

76.16%

Plaza Colonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.73%

27.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.29%

62.71%

Score Analysis

Progreso 26.66%

Plaza Colonia 45.06%

Draw 28.26%

Progreso	Draw	Plaza Colonia
1-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 6.04% 2-0 @ 4.65% 3-1 @ 1.87% 3-0 @ 1.44% 3-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.44% Total : 26.66%	1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 10.76% 2-2 @ 3.93% Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.26%	0-1 @ 13.98% 0-2 @ 9.09% 1-2 @ 8.45% 0-3 @ 3.94% 1-3 @ 3.66% 2-3 @ 1.7% 0-4 @ 1.28% 1-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.78% Total : 45.06%