Penarol
2 - 0
River Plate

Britos (38'), A (48')
Gonzalez (22'), Britos (52'), Acosta (74'), Piquerez (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Calzada (63'), Montiel (66'), Salaberry (71'), Neris (90')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and River Plate.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 45.97%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 26.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
Penarol	Draw	River Plate
45.97%	27.07%	26.96%

Both teams to score 47.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.72%

57.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.88%

78.12%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.12%

24.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.51%

59.49%

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.11%

36.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.32%

73.68%

Score Analysis

Penarol 45.97%

River Plate 26.96%

Draw 27.07%

Penarol	Draw	River Plate
1-0 @ 12.76% 2-0 @ 8.88% 2-1 @ 8.86% 3-0 @ 4.12% 3-1 @ 4.11% 3-2 @ 2.05% 4-0 @ 1.43% 4-1 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.33% Total : 45.97%	1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 9.18% 2-2 @ 4.42% Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.07%	0-1 @ 9.15% 1-2 @ 6.35% 0-2 @ 4.56% 1-3 @ 2.11% 0-3 @ 1.52% 2-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 1.8% Total : 26.96%