SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rampla Juniors win with a probability of 36.49%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rampla Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rampla Juniors | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
36.49% ( 0.5) | 27.63% ( -0.02) | 35.88% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 48.94% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.16% ( 0.05) | 56.84% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.23% ( 0.04) | 77.77% ( -0.05) |
| Rampla Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.14% ( 0.34) | 29.86% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.06% ( 0.41) | 65.95% ( -0.41) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.77% ( -0.28) | 30.24% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.6% ( -0.34) | 66.4% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rampla Juniors | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
| 1-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.4% Total : 36.49% | 1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.63% | 0-1 @ 10.79% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.32% Total : 35.87% |
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