SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rampla Juniors win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rampla Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 (11.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rampla Juniors | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 37.1% | 28.47% | 34.42% |
| Both teams to score 46.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.97% | 60.03% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.74% | 80.26% |
| Rampla Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.93% | 31.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.61% | 67.38% |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.21% | 32.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.64% | 69.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rampla Juniors | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 11.9% 2-1 @ 7.76% 2-0 @ 6.96% 3-1 @ 3.02% 3-0 @ 2.71% 3-2 @ 1.69% Other @ 3.05% Total : 37.09% | 1-1 @ 13.27% 0-0 @ 10.18% 2-2 @ 4.33% Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.46% | 0-1 @ 11.35% 1-2 @ 7.4% 0-2 @ 6.33% 1-3 @ 2.75% 0-3 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.62% Total : 34.41% |
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