Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rentistas win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rentistas win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Fenix win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
