Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 61.41%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 14.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.65%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Fenix win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
