Plaza Colonia
1 - 2
Penarol

Lopez (58')
Redin (24'), Fernandez (73')
Redin (30')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Alvarez (36', 70')
Ceppelini (84')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Plaza Colonia and Penarol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 51.25%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 21.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.02%) and 1-2 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 1-0 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
Plaza Colonia	Draw	Penarol
21.07%	27.67%	51.25%

Both teams to score 40.51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.69%

63.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.31%

82.69%

Plaza Colonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.07%

45.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.33%

81.67%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.93%

25.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.24%

59.76%

Score Analysis

Plaza Colonia 21.07%

Penarol 51.25%

Draw 27.66%

Plaza Colonia	Draw	Penarol
1-0 @ 8.96% 2-1 @ 4.82% 2-0 @ 3.49% 3-1 @ 1.25% 3-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.65% Total : 21.07%	1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 11.51% 2-2 @ 3.34% Other @ 0.43% Total : 27.66%	0-1 @ 15.93% 0-2 @ 11.02% 1-2 @ 8.57% 0-3 @ 5.08% 1-3 @ 3.95% 0-4 @ 1.76% 2-3 @ 1.54% 1-4 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.03% Total : 51.25%